What outputs will result?
- Sets of scenarios at situated (national/regional) and global level that generate visibility and insight into threats, vulnerabilities, drivers, blind-spots, leverage points, and preparedness strategies.
- New solutions and collaborative actions within and across sectors, communities, and organizations.
- Strategic communication outputs and channels (videos, articles, reports, visuals) to disseminate and promote debate, dialogue, and learning and support influencing strategies.
- A connected, diverse, committed and empowered ecosystem of changemakers.
Long-term vision for the initiative (indicative timeline)
Year 1 (2022-2023)
- Map stakeholders and key themes in 12 countries (in progress)
- Establish funding, communication strategy, and staffing for global platform as well as 2-5 country level processes.
- Establish delivery partnerships and form and on-board facilitation team.
- Build core curriculum and recruit advisors.
- Build prototype global platform.
Year 2 (2023 – 2024)
- Phase I: Situated Scenarios
- Run full process of Phase I in 5 countries including communication and dissemination of scenarios and development of collaboration teams, and design, preparation, and recruitment for incubating events/activities.
- Phase II: Cross-Context Learning
- Begin synthesis of scenarios to identify patterns; develop communication materials and thought leadership pieces based on common themes.
- Convene global influencers for initial reflections on scenarios and their implications.
- Launch global platform.
Year 3 (2024 – 2025)
- Phase I: Situated Scenarios
- Ongoing support to collaboration teams (e.g. Incubating, Communicating)
- Codification of methodology, evaluation, and learning
- Launch additional country processes building on previous ones (Potential for new processes with specific sectors e.g. humanitarian sector).
- Review/update curriculum.
- Phase II: Cross-Context Learning
- Design, prepare, and run Cross-Context Learning Events.
- Synthesize insights from Cross-Context Learning Events; develop communication materials and thought leadership pieces based on common themes.
- Convene global influencers to reflect on insights.
Year 4 (2025 – 2026)
- Continuous platform for scenario development, knowledge exchange, and collaborative action to “shift the loop”.
- Phase III: Global Influence
- Design, prepare, and run global scenarios process including communication and dissemination of scenarios and development of collaboration teams.
Unique contributions of this process
- Broadening the conversation beyond technological causes and digital solutions, engaging a much wider set of actors beyond usual suspects
- Tracing the complex connections between disinformation, social cohesion, and resilience, into the future through the application of scenarios
- Creating a transnational conversation that centers local contexts and realities
- Empowering meaningful and informed participation for all stakeholders in an inclusive space that allows for difference
- Employing creative and strategic communication to convey key messages and create engagement
- Generating innovative collaborations that address shared risks and leverage points and bridge the siloed thematic areas implicated by disinformation