What outputs will result?

  • Sets of scenarios at situated (national/regional) and global level that generate visibility and insight into threats, vulnerabilities, drivers, blind-spots, leverage points, and preparedness strategies.
  • New solutions and collaborative actions within and across sectors, communities, and organizations.  
  • Strategic communication outputs and channels (videos, articles, reports, visuals) to disseminate and promote debate, dialogue, and learning and support influencing strategies.
  • A connected, diverse, committed and empowered ecosystem of changemakers.

Long-term vision for the initiative (indicative timeline)

Year 1 (2022-2023)

  • Map stakeholders and key themes in 12 countries (in progress) 
  • Establish funding, communication strategy, and staffing for global platform as well as 2-5 country level processes. 
  • Establish delivery partnerships and form and on-board facilitation team. 
  • Build core curriculum and recruit advisors.      
  • Build prototype global platform.

Year 2 (2023 – 2024)

  • Phase I: Situated Scenarios
  • Run full process of Phase I in 5 countries including communication and dissemination of scenarios and development of collaboration teams, and design, preparation, and recruitment for incubating events/activities.
  • Phase II: Cross-Context Learning
  • Begin synthesis of scenarios to identify patterns; develop communication materials and thought leadership pieces based on common themes. 
  • Convene global influencers for initial reflections on scenarios and their implications.
  • Launch global platform.

Year 3 (2024 – 2025)

  • Phase I: Situated Scenarios
  • Ongoing support to collaboration teams (e.g. Incubating, Communicating)
  • Codification of methodology, evaluation, and learning 
  • Launch additional country processes building on previous ones  (Potential for new processes with specific sectors e.g. humanitarian sector).
  • Review/update curriculum.
  • Phase II: Cross-Context Learning
  • Design, prepare, and run Cross-Context Learning Events.
  • Synthesize insights from Cross-Context Learning Events; develop communication materials and thought leadership pieces based on common themes.
  • Convene global influencers to reflect on insights.

Year 4 (2025 – 2026)

  • Continuous platform for scenario development, knowledge exchange, and collaborative action to “shift the loop”. 
  • Phase III: Global Influence
  • Design, prepare, and run global scenarios process including communication and dissemination of scenarios and development of collaboration teams.

Unique contributions of this process

  • Broadening the conversation beyond technological causes and digital solutions, engaging a much wider set of actors beyond usual suspects 
  • Tracing the complex connections between disinformation, social cohesion, and resilience, into the future through the application of scenarios
  • Creating a transnational conversation that centers local contexts and realities
  • Empowering meaningful and informed participation for all stakeholders in an inclusive space that allows for difference
  • Employing creative and strategic communication to convey key messages and create engagement  
  • Generating innovative collaborations that address shared risks and leverage points and bridge the siloed thematic areas implicated by disinformation